复旦大学：《中国人口与发展》PPT教学课件_Lecture 6 Mortality and Health

Mortality and Health Shen Ke

Mortality and Health Shen Ke

Outline 1. Mortality measures 2. Morality trend in the world and in China 3. Life expectancy and Healthy life Expectancy

Outline 1. Mortality measures 2. Morality trend in the world and in China 3. Life expectancy and Healthy Life Expectancy

Mortality measures 1. Crude death rate O [(the number of deaths in a population)/( Population in the mid year)]1,000 ② Drawbacks? Influenced by the age structure of the population 3 Why the developed countries always have higher CDr than the developing countries? For instance, in 2004, the UAE has a Cdr of 1%o and the United States has a cdr of 8 %0? UAE is much younger in average age than is the United States, and younger people have lower death rates than older people

Mortality measures 1. Crude death rate ① [(the number of deaths in a population) / (Population in the mid year)]* 1,000 ② Drawbacks? Influenced by the age structure of the population ③ Why the developed countries always have higher CDR than the developing countries? For instance, in 2004, the UAE has a CDR of 1‰ and the United States has a CDR of 8 ‰? UAE is much younger in average age than is the United States, and younger people have lower death rates than older people

Crude death rate by countries, 2006 per1,000) 7-8 9-10 11-15 16-20 21+ Highest: Swaziland 30.83%o, Angola 24.08%0, Lesotho 22.20%0 Lowest: UAE 2.11%o, Kuwait 2.35%0, Qatar 2.46%0

Crude death rate by countries, 2006 (per 1,000) Highest: Swaziland 30.83‰, Angola 24.08‰, Lesotho 22.20‰ Lowest: UAE 2.11‰, Kuwait 2.35‰, Qatar 2.46‰

Crude birth rate by countries, 2008 / Births/1, 000 population 11 World Birth Rates

Crude birth rate by countries, 2008

Mortality measures 1. Age-specific death rates O The number of deaths to persons in a specific age group per 1, 000 persons in that age group deaths to persons aged x to x+n 1.000 midyear population aged x to x+n O Death rates are high in the initial years of life, then drop precipitously, and begin increasing again at around age 40 or so

Mortality measures 1. Age-specific death rates ① The number of deaths to persons in a specific age group per 1,000 persons in that age group. ① Death rates are high in the initial years of life, then drop precipitously, and begin increasing again at around age 40 or so

Age specific death rates for four countries 2005 1000.00 10000 5n5 10.00 1.00 0.10 0.01 R高a8 §宫岗导导日总怒良煦忌莒宗的 Afghanistan Ja China United states

Age specific death rates for four countries 2005

Age distribution of population and deaths, China, 1953 75-79 ■ Deaths ■ Population 65-69 35-3 25-29 15-19 10-14 0-4 10 Percent 8

Age distribution of population and deaths, China, 1953 8

Age distribution of population and deaths, China, 2010 85+ 75179 70-74 0-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 35-39 30-34 ■ Deaths 25-29 20-24 ■ Popu lation 15-19 10-14 04 15 10 0 5 15 20 Percent 9

Age distribution of population and deaths, China, 2010 9

Mortality measures 1. Infant mortality rate (1 The number of infant deaths (one year of age or younger)per 1000 live births High IMRs led to the cultural practice in China and many other Asian societies a. a feast is prepared on the hundredth day b. This day was originally to celebrate the childs surviving the first few months of life, the most difficult period of time for survival C. In ancient times, the child was not given his/her name until the hundredth-day celebration 3 Important health indicator

Mortality measures 1. Infant mortality rate ① The number of infant deaths (one year of age or younger) per 1000 live births. ② High IMRs led to the cultural practice in China and many other Asian societies. a. a feast is prepared on the hundredth day. b. This day was originally to celebrate the child’s surviving the first few months of life, the most difficult period of time for survival. c. In ancient times, the child was not given his/her name until the hundredth-day celebration. ③ Important health indicator